A shifting Fourth of July forecast is in the works, slight chance of rain

Kerrville residents should prepare for unsettled weather through Independence Day as showers and thunderstorms threaten outdoor holiday plans.

The National Weather Service forecasts a 60% chance of showers and possible thunderstorms this afternoon, with temperatures reaching 85 degrees. Southeast winds will gust up to 20 mph. Rainfall amounts could range from one-tenth to one-quarter inch, though thunderstorms may produce higher totals.

Tonight’s rain chances drop to 30% as temperatures fall to 72 degrees with continued southeast winds.

Thursday brings a 50% precipitation chance, starting with possible morning showers that could develop into thunderstorms after 10 a.m. Highs will reach 84 degrees with gusty southeast winds up to 20 mph. Thursday night maintains a 40% storm probability with overnight lows around 72.

Independence Day itself carries a 30% chance of rain and thunderstorms throughout the day. Morning storms may give way to showers between 7 and 10 a.m., with thunderstorms possible again later. Temperatures will climb to 88 degrees under mostly cloudy skies, accompanied by south winds gusting to 20 mph.

The unsettled pattern continues Friday night with a slight 10% chance of early evening storms before conditions begin stabilizing.

Residents planning Fourth of July festivities should monitor updated forecasts and have indoor backup plans ready.