Guadalupe River at Center Point flooding may exceed July 4, 2025

The Guadalupe River is forecast to crest at 22.5 feet at Kerrville this morning, a level the National Weather Service says is nearing a 1-in-25-year flood event, as a second wave of catastrophic flooding moves through Kerr County less than a year after the July 4, 2025, flood killed 119 people countywide.

The weather service extended its Flood Warning for the Guadalupe River at Kerrville early Thursday, saying moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. The warning is in effect until late this evening.

“Flooding is life threatening from the headwaters to below Comfort,” the weather service said. “Lowest homes above Center Point to below Comfort flood.”

In Center Point, flooding at the U.S. Postal Service building — a location that stayed dry during last year’s flood — is one of the clearest signs yet that Thursday’s event may be exceeding July 4, 2025 in that community specifically. Radio traffic monitored by The Lead also indicated the flooding footprint in Center Point may be wider than a year ago.

By the numbers

• Guadalupe River at Kerrville: 16.8 feet as of 5:05 a.m., forecast to crest at 22.5 feet this morning; flood stage is 9 feet, bankfull is 7 feet
• Guadalupe River at Center Point: 37 feet; gauge rose 32 feet in four hours
• Kerrville — Bear Creek gauge: 27 feet
• Louise Hays Park: estimated 20 to 30 feet, just below the Sidney Baker Street bridge
• Flash Flood Emergency for the Guadalupe River, Center Point to Bergheim, in effect until 11:30 a.m., rated a catastrophic damage threat
• Flood Warning for the Guadalupe River at Kerrville in effect until late this evening

What’s flooding

• Water over the bridge on Texas 480 in Center Point
• Water over the main bridge in downtown Center Point
• Spur 100 low-water crossing in Center Point: impassable
• Parking lot flooding at the Center Point post office
• Center Point Fire Department building flooded; a family living next door was evacuated
• Skyline Drive in Center Point believed flooded, based on the fire department’s location; not independently confirmed
• Significant flooding along Town Creek in Kerrville
• Water reported inside homes in Kerrville’s Bluebell neighborhood
• Homes on Lime Creek Road in the Lime Creek Addition taking on water
• A video posted to Facebook by Kerrville resident Sal Ybarra showed a vehicle swept down the river at Louise Hays Park with its headlights still on; The Lead has not confirmed whether anyone was inside

Shelter in place

The City of Kerrville ordered residents to shelter in place, according to a Kerrville Police Department Facebook post. The city advised people to move to the highest safe level of their home or building, avoid all non-essential travel, and stay away from flooded roads, low-water crossings, creeks and drainage areas.

“Never drive through flooded roads. Turn Around, Don’t Drown,” the city said, asking residents to call 911 only for life-threatening emergencies.

Kerrville City Manager Dalton Rice said Thursday morning there was widespread flooding across the city, though he had no reports of injuries or fatalities as of early Thursday.

Evacuation center, power outages

An evacuation center has opened at City West Church in Ingram.

Kerrville Public Utility Board reported more than 2,400 customers without power across 68 separate outages as of Thursday morning, with a large swath of south Kerrville affected. KPUB’s lobby and drive-thru are closed today.

Closures today

• Kerrville City Hall
• Butt-Holdsworth Memorial Library
• Development Services offices
• 216th District Court, per District Attorney Lucy Wilke
• MHDD outpatient centers
• Dietert Center
• Art Camp at the Kerr Arts and Cultural Center
• KPUB lobby and drive-thru
• Ingram ISD: no classes; activities continuing

More rain expected

The weather service warned Thursday that renewed heavy rainfall is likely overnight into Friday morning, driven by the same atmospheric pattern that has fueled repeated rounds of torrential rain across the region this week. Forecasters said another 10 to 15 inches of rain is possible in the heaviest band, though the exact location remains uncertain.

The area remains under a Moderate Risk — level 3 of 4 — for excessive rainfall capable of causing flash flooding through Friday morning, with the highest threat expected overnight. Forecasters said the heaviest rain is likely to shift north and west Thursday night into Friday, potentially affecting areas already hit hard by this week’s flooding.

This is a developing story and will be updated.